New poll conducted by Mason-Dixon for the Las Vegas Review-Journal shows a closely contested presidential race in Nevada. 44 percent would vote for John McCain, 42 percent for Barack Obama and "14 percent of likely voters remain undecided."
The cross-tabs are interesting. Obama narrowly leads among Hispanics "with 53 percent, but nearly one-fifth are undecided and McCain still draws 28 percent." Obama leads with women, 47 percent to 39 percent, but a "significant" number remain undecided. Corroborating recent polls conducted in key swing states is more news that should be troubling for the Democratic Party. "15 percent of Democrats saying they'll vote for McCain and another 14 percent undecided, that's 29 percent of his own party not currently supporting Obama."
Hillary Clinton won the Nevada caucus and some 60 percent of the Hispanic vote. As we've several times before, the Nevada and New Mexico vote, and, to a smaller extent California, will be decided by Hispanics and women. Obama will undoubtedly win a majority of female and Hispanic voters in the southwest. It's the margin that will make a difference.
COMMENTS only on this poll or the general election in Nevada. NO rehashing of the primary.